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The Anatomy of a Breakout: $4,050 to $4,245

A post-mortem of the Bullish Ascending Triangle prediction made on November 3rd, 2025.

PREDICTION CONFIRMED: Target $\mathbf{\$4,200}$ hit and Overshot.

New High achieved on 13/11/2025 at $\mathbf{\$4,245}$.

I. Price Path Visualization (28/10 - 24/11)

The chart below plots the volatile price history against the three critical levels defined in our initial analysis: the **Invalidation Point** ($\$3,971$), the **Breakout Ceiling** ($\$4,050$), and the **Calculated Target** ($\$4,200$).

II. Breakout Phase Breakdown

Click a Phase Above to Begin Analysis

Explore the three critical moments that determined the success of the gold rally. Each phase offers a lesson in volatility and market structure.

â–² Current Trading Thesis: November 24th

The current price action provides a clear signal. After hitting a high of $\mathbf{\$4,245}$, the retracement to a low of $\mathbf{\$4,040}$ today (24/11) confirms that the old **$\mathbf{\$4,050}$ Resistance Ceiling is now acting as solid Support**.

Your entry at $\mathbf{\$4,062}$ is perfectly aligned with this market structure.

You are betting on the successful re-test of the former resistance as new support. The macro fundamental tailwind (high Fed cut probability) remains firmly in place, supporting this long-term bullish base.